Bear Stearns & Greece, Lehman Bros & Spain
Published April 9, 2012 6864 Views
It was the Summer season of 2007
And all through the land
There were rumblings of subprime mortgages
Grown too fat by many hands
The storm clouds and the thunder
Surrounding our Summer's sun
Threatened to take us under
And spoil all of our fun
That first bolt of lightning found Bear Stea...
Spain
Published April 5, 2012 6452 Views
Today the news is eerily reporting that the costs of financing Spanish debt and deficits are rising. It's early yet to be sure but it seems that the Faustian bargain of debt and spending that ensnared Greece has a strong chance of roping Spain in too. The reason why Spain is in danger, like Greece b...
U.S. Treasury and The Fed
Published March 30, 2012 6227 Views
I recently read an article that pointed out that in 2011 the Federal Reserve purchased 61% of U.S. Treasury bond issuance. In the markets there is a lot of speculation about another round of quantitative easing (which is sometimes called QE3). Such speculation has kept the equity markets afloat, ris...
Crowd Funding vs. Fat Cats
Published March 23, 2012 6402 Views
We regularly get questions from people wanting to invest in "hot" new companies. Lately all the media buzz about a looming public offering of shares from Facebook has more people than ever wondering how they can get in on the action.
The answer usually is: they can't.
Think about it: people ar...
$1,600,000,000 (that's billion with a 'b')!!!
Published March 22, 2012 7447 Views
Oh, it's still missing!? The $1.6 billion dollars that "vaporized" from MF Global!? Let me refresh everyone's memory as, apparently, a fairly significant "vaporization of capital" warrants only brief news coverage because we have much more urgent things to cover like "The Situation," whoever that is...
Political Risk: United States
Published March 21, 2012 6239 Views
As investors, we usually think of political risk relative to international investing - e.g. will Brazil honor contracts or will China steal our technology? But there are more dimensions to political risk these days.
Today, House Republicans released their 2013 budget. Now, I don't know what Vegas...
Update: Apple as an Income Stock
Published March 19, 2012 6269 Views
In my previous post I discussed the potential of Apple becoming an income stock. Today the company announced that it would begin paying a $2.65 quarterly dividend, a current yield of about 1.8%. Along with the dividend Apple plans to buy back $10 billion of its stock. I believe returning capital to...
There is a Difference Between Loving a Company and Loving That Company's Stock
Published March 16, 2012 6245 Views
This is a current chart of Apple stock in white on top of a 2007 chart of Google in orange. I am not making any predictions here, but Todd Harrison at Minyanville says it best "We've seen this parabolic frolic before and it was always different--until it wasn't."
Doug Hendee, CFP(R)
Magic Numbers?
Published March 15, 2012 6492 Views
What happened to the "news" story that was Dow 13,000? Over the last few weeks as US stock markets rose and the Dow Jones Industrial Average flirted with 13,000 stories filled the financial media. Their content was a typically breathless "will it or won't it" close above that magical mark. Experts o...
Cycles
Published March 9, 2012 6573 Views
Recently, my colleague Brennan published a post relating our current economic climate to that of the 1970's. This concept of a cyclical economy is something that has been studied in great detail for many years. As Brennan posed, history never repeats itself exactly, but there are often many measurab...